marktbeeld · 02

Predictions scoreboard

Every prediction we publish carries a falsification criterion. This page shows how we're doing — misses included.


Vroeg publishes no prediction without a falsification criterion. Every article carrying a claim about future behaviour (of a company, regulator, sector or market) includes a "testable by X" date and an unambiguous statement of what evidence would prove we were wrong.

On the deadline, each prediction is tested against primary sources and moved to verified, falsified, or expired. Wrong predictions are not silently deleted. The track-record is public and never updated retrospectively. See also the falsifier protocol for the full working process.


scoreboard · 1 prediction

1 open
0 verified
0 falsified

  1. from: ASML scales back EUV production in Q4 on TSMC delay